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Sep 01, 2023

Is Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys (NSE:IMFA) A Risky Investment?

Stock Analysis Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical

Stock Analysis

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys Limited (NSE:IMFA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys had debt of ₹3.41b at the end of March 2023, a reduction from ₹4.90b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹2.78b, its net debt is less, at about ₹628.6m.

The latest balance sheet data shows that Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys had liabilities of ₹6.65b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹850.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.78b in cash and ₹5.00b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹272.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹20.6b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys's net debt is only 0.14 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 14.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 54% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Based on what we've seen Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Find out whether Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys Limited produces and sells ferro chrome in India.

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.